09 Jan ’24 — For a moment we thought the bearish had vanished — Nifty & BankNifty PostMortem…
Nifty Analysis — Stance Bearish ⬇️
Why did we really gap-up 144pts today? Was it because of the US markets which closed in strong green yesterday? Seriously we do not see any other reason and what it did was to scare the bears. The bears who had shorted 21500, 21600, and 21700 CE were on their toes today, shocked by the gap-up followed by a rising price action till 12.35.
The real deal was to watch the top line of the channel — N50 did not have enough power to surpass it and the longer it stood there, it was easier for the bears to regain control. We then fell a whopping 205pts ~ 0.95%. Even though we did not close in the RED, the price action in the afternoon rhymed with yesterday’s bearish call.
Interesting price action formed at the current levels. Seems like where we are right now is a crucial support/resistance zone that could decide the next trend. Our call of bearishness will continue until N50 can break through the channel top line.
BankNifty Analysis — Stance Bearish ⬇️
BankNifty was more sensible today. Firstly the gap-up was not so huge to scare away the bears — so they hung around. Secondly, there was no breakaway momentum, by 11.07 things were getting pretty clear that the upmove ran out of steam.
And when the selling came, it was ferocious. Bears also had to make sure the support level of 47539 had to be taken out with style. The RED candles near that price zone are ample proof of that. The fall was over 782pts ~ 1.63% which took BN into RED. Nifty on the other hand stayed in green thanks to NiftyIT, LT, and ADANI group.
Since we have the BN expiry tomorrow, it may be a treat to watch how the strike price premiums could surge. India VIX was not favoring the bears today, if we have a strong price action in the forenoon the IV is bound to add to the momentum. Our stance of bearishness continues with the first target of 46931 followed by 46574.