18 July 2025 — Nifty bearishness continues, 416pts profit so far + PostMortem and Weekly Analysis

Nifty Stance Bearish 🐻

After the short signal was triggered, the Nifty50 fell 416 points to end the week at 24965. We almost came close to a long signal reversal on Thursday, 09.31 AM, but Nifty decided otherwise.

The retracement green candles are sharper and more volatile, indicating fear in the minds of bears and an anticipated short-covering rally. The first false-reversal signal came Nifty crawled back 245+ points between Monday 14th, 1.00 PM and Tuesday 15th, 11.00 AM. We then hit the same double top on Wednesday, before giving way to a bear rally on Friday.

Bears would really need some more firepower to bring us lower than 24750. The OTM options premium is not indicating a sharp downmove whatsoever. Meanwhile, the US and India trade-tariff announcements are waiting on the sidelines to spoil our technical setup.


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