13 June 2024 — Nifty and Banknifty New ATHs almost everyday + Weekly Analysis + PostMortem
Nifty Stance Bullish ⬆️
Nifty continued to make new highs every other day this week, overall it has been a steady week with very few wild swings. Just compare the swing range of the previous week vs this, and you will understand what I am talking about.
The new high is 23481 hit at the open today and then we fell almost 126pts ~ 0.54%, the beauty is that we did not go red today, even when BankNifty was toggling between red and green.
During this expiry, we managed to gain 550pts ~ 2.41%. Not only did we manage to recover from the 8.74% intraday fall on election counting day, but we also managed to close 3.77% above 31st May levels and that really sends a strong message to all investors.
The stance continues to be bullish, but it seems like Nifty is waiting for the fundamentals to catch up. At present, there are no major risks or challenges at the local level. All eyes are on global macros.
BankNifty Stance Bullish ⬆️
The stance of banknifty is still bullish, but the pattern is not like Nifty50. Banks are a bit weaker than Nifty. If you notice today, Nifty50 hits its intraday low around 11.20 whereas BN hit it around 15.00. Till 11.20 both N50 and BN were moving alike after which BN did not recover but kept melting down slowly.
Still, we ended the day almost flat, thanks to the gap up open. Last year we had a similar repetitive pattern, open high and then close the day near the previous day’s close. Much of the action is happening outside of market hours prompting a gap.
BankNifty is yet to reclaim its top of 51133, seems like it may take a bit longer. I am still sticking to the view of 11th June, where we said we would switch the stance to neutral if BN is unable to break free from these levels.
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