Postmortem on #BankNifty — 14 OCT 2022 — Weekly Analysis

SPX and NDQ had risen 2.6% & 2.3% overnight in spite of worse CPI inflation data. Look at the chart below. There was a rally of 5.4% from the intraday low — this isnt a crypto, pennystock or shitcoin — its the world’s most tracked & liquid index — S&P500 When the global markets fall, Indian markets will rise. And when…

Postmortem on #BankNifty — 13 OCT 2022 — Weekly Expiry

Bank nifty opened a bit gap down at 38957 and till 09.50 it was failing to close the gap or trade higher. Remember yesterday we discussed that the top made on 12th did not break the swing high of 11th — read here. It proved that the final hour of yesterday’s close was basically short covering and…

Postmortem on #BankNifty — 11 OCT 2022

Bank nifty’s performance today was quite surprising. Opened at 39058 right near where we closed yesterday. Usually BN has the habit of opening gap up or gap down everyday, but today’s open was the first surprise — the trade was almost the continuation of yesterday’s price action. Secondly the IV (implied volatility) of bank nifty was very…

Postmortem on #BankNifty — 07 OCT 2022 — US market comparison

The chart pattern we were expecting on 6th Sep came today. I think this is the 2nd or 3rd occurrence wherein the expiry day chart patterns are decoupled with the normal trading days. It may be due to huge positioning or legally possible manipulation by the institutional desk. Look at the island price action for…

Postmortem on #BankNifty — 03 Oct 2022

The day began with an arbitrage — SGXNifty value = 16957 | Nifty50 preopen value = 17100. There was close to .09% money making opportunity translating to Rs7250 per lot of nifty futures traded. SPX ended friday’s trading with a 1.51% fall, NDQ — 1.73% — so its quite normal that we expected India indices to begin low and fall further. But…