16 Jan 2025–23357 resistance not beaten, stance is bearish

Nifty Stance Bearish ⬇ We dropped 208pts ~ 0.89% over the last week. What would have been a superb bear trend was cut short at 23047. The price action of Monday 13th Jan was dangerous and it got the entire investing community talking. The recovery from there has been nothing short of magic, but the…

4th Oct 2024 — Nifty Slips 1130pts ~ 4.32%, stance bearish + BankNifty Postmortem & Weekly Analysis

Nifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️ What a dramatic week it has been, Nifty falls 1130pts ~ 4.32% after SEBI’s new FnO rule changes go live. What spooked the markets? I guess the fear that liquidity may get sucked out post 20th November 2024. Or is it because China’s stock market is going limit up? The fall…

06 June 2024 — Nifty above 22781 resistance, BankNifty slightly bullish + PostMortem and Weekly…

Nifty Analysis Over the last 1 week, Nifty is up only 1.33% ~ 300pts, but we witnessed one of the most violent weeks in the last 4 years. Primarily because the exit polls overshot the expectations which gave a gap up of 3.5% ~ 792pts and then the actual polls came less than expected and…

Nifty & BankNifty Analysis — 06 May 2024 — Indian markets have decoupled from Global peers —…

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The stance has been revised to neutral as the support is broken. For Monday we wish to go neutral if 22295 is broken and go long if 22519. Nifty Algos ended the day with a loss of -2374 INR.” How do we explain the relevance of support and…

Nifty & BankNifty Analysis — 03 May 2024 — Stance revised to neutral, a support broken —…

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the bullish stance, but the first test would be the ATH which would otherwise act as a triple top. The moment we get past that, I could remove the M pattern drawn for the period 05 to 12th April.” Nifty hit a…

Nifty & BankNifty Analysis — 22 Apr 2024–Both Indices gets a stance change, out of bearishness —…

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “I strongly think it was an intense short covering that fueled this rally and hence does not wish to alter my bearish stance. If we get past 22295 on Monday or Tuesday, I would change the stance to neutral.” Nifty snaps out of bearishness by breaking the 22295…

Nifty & BankNifty Analysis — 10 Apr 2024 — Falling VIX, Rising Markets and Lower Uncertainty…

Nifty Analysis — Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615” Nifty had a gap up opening and was stuck in a narrow range till 13.11 after which it picked up decent momentum. Nifty almost gained 101…

27 Mar ’24 — Scary opening minutes and broken support at close — Nifty & BankNifty PostMortem…

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The support of 22051 will be crucial and N50 has to defend it if we wish to go bullish.” 4mts chart No one would really believe it if we said Nifty50 had an opening low of 21947 i.e. 133 points below the last session close. Well, it was…

30 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Still wondering why we fell 111pts in the last 2…

Nifty Analysis This is what I wrote yesterday — “For tomorrow, I have a 60% neutral and 40% bullish view as we are right at the upper channel and above the support.”. Never did I believe we could have a neutral closing today after the big gap-up open. Even till 13.15 there was no sign of weakness…

24 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Weekly Expiry Analysis + Another fake move today?

Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has just gone up by 32pts ~ 0.17%. But this week has seen a wide swing of 332pts ~ 1.72% i.e from the low of the week to the high of the week. The drama mostly in today’s price action which we will be discussing shortly….