23 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | BankNifty goes up like a rocket & India lands on Moon

India created history by landing Chandrayaan 3 on Moon. The 4th country to do so and the first to land near the south pole. — official source. BankNifty Analysis We will start with BankNifty today, because we had a reversal pattern today. According to me trend changes are first spotted on BankNifty and hence it works as…

22 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty + FinNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis

Nifty Analysis Yesterday we had a neutral stance for Nifty and a bearish stance for BankNifty. If you were watching every 5mts candle today, you wouldn’t believe how we ended up getting Nifty at +0.01% and BankNifty down 8.75pts. Nifty makes a beautiful rounded top formation today, will wait for tomorrow to see if we…

21 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Change in Stance for Nifty, but not on BankNifty

Nifty Analysis On our last day’s report we discussed the possibility of Nifty staying above the 19309 levels. It was with great difficulty that we got a closing below 19309 on Friday, today we opened right there and then had a good rally till 19370 levels. Immediately we started reversing and fell below water by…

18 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Bears managed to close below 19309 today

Nifty Analysis There was only 1 goal for the bears today, to close the markets below 19309. Somehow they got it done today which means we are in for a bear ride next week. Let me try to explain. We opened right at the 19309 level and then fell to 19258 levels by 10.45 in…

17 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty + Weekly Expiry Analysis | Bears are still fighting

Nifty Weekly Analysis We have fallen 201pts ~ 1.03% between the last expiry and today. If you notice the chart below, Nifty is closely following the bearish trend line and we will get a range convergence soon. If the support line of 19309 is not breaking — we will have a bullish reversal. Global macros, India inflation…

16 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | How many bears are still alive?

Nifty50 Analysis Last session we discussed the support level of 19311, this came into play today and proved quite hard to breach. Today’s intraday low 19317 was hit in the first candle itself after a gap down opening. The biggest negative news to start the day was the higher than expected 7.44% CPI inflation that…

11 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Day went as planned but India VIX has been a great…

Nifty50 Analysis The first 5mts candle today had a swing range of 0.34% ~ 66pts but this did not drive up the OTM premiums. The majority of traders have forgotten what fear was like. India VIX was up 2 to 3% then and still in the 11.5 range. The complacency has gotten into the traders…

10 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty + Weekly Expiry Analysis | RBI holds Repo rate @ 6.5%

Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry day and today, Nifty has managed to rise 152pts ~ 0.78% which is a good sign for the bulls. This flattish phase was much required after Nifty picked up a direction from 21st July. The technical analysis points to a trend continuation possibility and should be good for…

07 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Change in sentiment from neutral to bullish

Nifty Analysis On Friday 4th Aug Nifty made a gap up opening and created an island day. We had changed the stance from bearish to neutral. And today nifty managed to build-up momentum on top of what happened on Friday, to me — that’s bullish. After opening gap, nifty managed to stay above the 19530 level quite…

03 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Weekly Expiry Analysis | Trend continuation in cards?

Nifty Weekly Analysis We lost 373pts ~ 1.89% between the last expiry day and today. Usually Nifty ends up compensating the loss by dip-buying. For the first time in many weeks — the dip buying is not that intense and that may open up more cuts in the coming weeks. Our stock market in specific has been…