26th Oct ’23 — Nifty hits the jackpot of 18880 — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Nifty fell a whopping 765pts ~ 3.90% between the last expiry and today. Most importantly it has retraced all its gains from 28th June to close below 18880. We will cover why that is relevant below, but this fall of 4% signals a reversal in trend. Even though VIX is still…

25th Oct ’23 — When will the 18880 level get broken? — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since we are back at the 19310 levels, my point is — the next fall may be as deep as 18880 i.e 430pts ~ 2%. Nifty has no experience trading between these 2 zones earlier, so the supports should be equally powerless. I can mark the top of the candles as support…

23rd Oct ’23 — The perfect day to break 2 supports — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Keeping the global macros in mind, I still wish to continue my bearish stance and expect the 19446 to be taken out on Monday and retest the 19310 soon.” If you watched the opening minutes, you would not have guessed the 283+ intraday fall possibilities. We had a flat open…

20th Oct ’23 — Contrasting Trade Signals by N50 and BN today — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: ”Since we are between 19446 and 19776, Nifty is still range bound — but BankNifty has fallen below the support and is looking weak. For tomorrow I wish to change my stance to bearish with the first target of 19511 and 2nd target of 19446. If we are climbing up, would not…

19th Oct ’23 — How do we recover from a Gap-Down Like that? — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has only fallen 172pts ~ 0.87%. Meanwhile, BankNifty fell 1.42% in its weekly expiry (we discussed it in yesterday’s newsletter). Nifty is still range bound whereas BankNifty has dropped below the support. Usually BankNifty leads the reversals, so we can increase our expectation of a…

18th Oct ’23 — Vertical fall from a strong zone — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, we have formed an island just above the 19776 levels. Today’s swing high has taken out the highs of 12th October. I wish to continue with my bullish stance as long as the support of 19776 is respected. Ideally, the next target should be 19907 and…

17th Oct ’23 — Nifty Breaches Resistance Zone — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, I wish to maintain the neutral stance until we break out or break down. Since we are near the resistance level, the probability of breaking out could be higher. That does not mean we jump the gun and take the trade early — patience is gold” Nifty got…

16th Oct ’23 — Flattish Day with no flavor — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr pattern, the first thing I would like to do is change my stance from bullish to neutral. We have broken the 19776 support today and well above the 19446 zone. For Monday I wish to go with the neutral trades only and go short if we fall…

The curious case of not having an expiry for the NiftyIT index

We all know there are 4 Nifty indices that have weekly expiries. Nifty50 BankNifty FinNifty MidCpSelect Nifty This article aims to discover why we do not have the NiftyIT in the futures and options segment when a lower-tier MidCpSelect index is available. Also, compare it with the highest speculated index i.e. BankNifty and outline the…

13th Oct ’23 — Unseen Double V shape — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: ”For tomorrow I wish to continue my bullish stance if 19776 support is respected. If that breaks in the morning session, I would like to change my stance to neutral. If 19671 level breaks in the forenoon session — I would definitely go short as we may fall below the double-top formation.”…