Nifty & BankNifty Analysis — 12 Apr 2024–4 RED Candles, first real sign of reversal?-PostMortem

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️️ Recap from yesterday: “As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react.” The first real sign of a breakdown. US CPI came…

19 Jan ’24 — Holiday Change at 7 PM — Are you ready for BANKEX expiry tomorrow?

Nifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “Today’s price action has confirmed that the channel is broken, but not the support/resistance of 21491. If Nifty trades above 21491 in the morning session — the bears may really feel abandoned. Ideally, the next stop should be 21041 — that was where Nifty bounced off from the trendline on 21st Dec…

1st Dec ’23 — Nifty on the cusp of Breakout? — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, 20015 was today’s stop and reversal level. The hourly candle seemed pretty strong, but some credibility has to be given to this new support level. I wish to continue with my bullish stance, the upper target will be the ATH and the lower target will be…

1st Nov ’23 — Some weakness still persisting — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since we retraced the 38.2% level of 19226 today and the reluctance to go up might be confidence-building for the bears. Also the 23.6% level forms a base for further movements. The issue is that we cannot go outright bearish now, we need further proof of that. Ideally, the 18880…

27th Oct ’23 — A Day to Rest & Reload — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain my bearish stance and expect Nifty to trade between 18880 and 18762. If we break 18762, my next target would be 18597.” Nifty took a breather today, opened gap up around the 18930 area and rose steadily. We did not retouch or break the…

26th Oct ’23 — Nifty hits the jackpot of 18880 — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis Nifty fell a whopping 765pts ~ 3.90% between the last expiry and today. Most importantly it has retraced all its gains from 28th June to close below 18880. We will cover why that is relevant below, but this fall of 4% signals a reversal in trend. Even though VIX is still…

11th Oct ’23 — Cuts Through the Resistance, More power to the bulls!

Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “On the hourly chart — India replies with 5 white soldiers to the war news (3 white soldiers means 3 strong green candles). We have not taken out the 19776 resistance so far — but we are pretty close. I wish to change my stance from neutral to bullish with the first target of…

29th Sep ’23 — Convincing Reversal and then a strong fall — PostMortem on Nifty & BankNifty

Nifty Analysis We are beginning a new weekly, monthly and quarterly (Q3 2023–24) series today. Yesterday’s close = 19523. Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr TF, Nifty is still looking weak. The next target should be 19446 followed by 19310 if are continuing the downward move. In case we reverse and move up, the first…

01 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | What a dramatic reversal

Nifty Analysis If you had witnessed the price action, then today’s performance was the total opposite. This is what I said yesterday “I wish to change my stance to bearish for tomorrow unless the 19310 resistance is breached.” and guess what — we had the break of resistance in the first 30mts itself. Who would believe we…

30 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty & BankNifty | Still wondering why we fell 111pts in the last 2…

Nifty Analysis This is what I wrote yesterday — “For tomorrow, I have a 60% neutral and 40% bullish view as we are right at the upper channel and above the support.”. Never did I believe we could have a neutral closing today after the big gap-up open. Even till 13.15 there was no sign of weakness…